Intambara ya Amerika na Israel kuri Iran – Uburusiya buraje gufasha Iran?
Ku itariki ya 28 Gashyantare 2026, intambara hagati ya Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika na Israeli kuri Iran yageze ku rwego rwo hejuru, aho abagabo b’indege za gisirikare n’imyuka ya gisirikare by’ibihugu byombi byatangiriye ibitero ku butaka bwa Iran, bituma aka karere ka Moyen-Orient (Middle East) gahinduka icyobo cy’intambara.
1. Ikiganiro gikunze kuvugwa mu bihugu – Intambara imaze kuba ikibazo ku isi
Ku gicamunsi cyo kuri uyu wa Gatandatu, Israel yatangaje ko yatangije ibitero bya gisirikare kuri Iran mu gikorwa yise “Operation Epic Fury” hagamijwe gukumira ibyago bijyanye n’ibikorwa bya gisirikare bya Iran, cyane cyane umushinga wayo wa nikleyeri n’ibisasu. Ibi bitero byakozwe mu buryo bwo kwirinda kwivuguruza, kandi byatangajwe ko byari byarateguwe mu kwezi gushize n’ubufatanye na Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika.
Mu gihe kimwe, Amerika na yo yemeje ko yifatanyije n’iyi ntambara kugira ngo hirindwe ibyago byashobora guterwa n’umwanzi w’ubuhangange waba ufite intwaro mbi cyangwa gahunda yo kwigarurira akarere.
2. Uko Iran yatanze igisubizo
Mu masaha yakurikiyeho nyuma y’ibitero, Iran yakoze igisubizo gikomeye. Perezida wa Iran ndetse n’ibiro by’igihugu batangaje ko bazasubiza kuri iki gitero, banavuga ko ibyo Amerika na Israel byakoze byica umuco w’amategeko mpuzamahanga kandi byirengagije ubusugire bw’igihugu cya Iran.
Mu bice bitandukanye byo mu karere, hashyizweho uburyo bwo kwirwanaho, harimo kohereza ibisasu by’umuriro n’indege zitandukanye bigana ahagana ku butaka bwa Israel no ku nshingano z’ubutasi.
3. Imyanzuro y’isi ku ngamba z’iyi ntambara
Abakuru b’ibihugu n’imiryango y’ubumwe bw’ibihugu ku isi ntibyari bateze gutangazwa kw’intambara nke nk’iyi. Hari abayiririye bose baravuga ko bashaka ko uyu murwano uhagarara hashyirweho ibiganiro byo kunga ubumwe, nyuma yo kubona ko impande zombi zigize umubano mubi kandi basigaye barasigaye mu ntambara idasobanutse neza.
Bamwe mu bategetsi bakomeye barimo Perezida wa Kominisiyo y’Ubumwe bw’Uburayi bagaragaje impungenge z’uko iyi ntambara ishobora kwangiza ubukungu bw’isi ndetse n’umutekano w’igihugu cyose.
4. Uruhande rwa Russia – Ese irashaka gufasha Iran mu ntambara?
Mu gihe amakuru menshi yavugaga ku mbaraga za Amerika na Israel, icyo benshi bibazaga ni uwo Russia izafata muri uyu murwano. Russia yatangaje mu mugaragaro ko yamagana cyane ibitero byakozwe n’Abanyamerika n’Abanyeyisraheli kuri Iran, ibisobanura nk’“igikorwa cya gisirikare cyakozwe nta mpamvu ifatika kandi kidafite uburenganzira.”
Abategetsi ba Russia bashyize hanze ibivugwa n’ibiro by’ububanyi n’amahanga bavuga ko ibi bitero byashyizweho nk’uburyo bwo gusenya cyangwa guhindura ubutegetsi bwa Iran, kandi byabangamiye amategeko mpuzamahanga.
Nubwo Russia itarahise igaragaza ko izohereza ingabo zitabaza Iran, hari ibimenyetso byerekana ko ibikorwa byabo n’imibanire yabo n’igihugu cya Iran bitari kwibanda gusa ku magambo. Muri Gashyantare 2026, inkuru z’itangazamakuru ry’Ibihugu by’Uburayi n’Amerika zavugaga ko Russia yarangije amasezerano yo kohereza ibikoresho bya gisirikare ku Iran mu mwaka ushize, harimo ibikoresho byo kwirinda ibisasu n’ibindi byuma byo mu rwego rwo hejuru.
Ayo masezerano agaragaza ko Uburusiya n’Igihugu cya Iran byagiye byiyunga mu byerekeye ubufatanye bw’ingabo, ndetse Iran yagiye ibona ibintu by’ubwoko bwa gisirikare byatumijwe mu gihugu n’abategetsi b’Uburusiya kuva mu bihe byashize.
5. Impungenge z’amahoro ku isi
Abahanga mu bya politiki n’umutekano bavuga ko iri koranabuhanga rishobora kugirira ingaruka mbi isi yose. Bamwe bavuga ko iyo Amerika hamwe na Israel bafashe icyemezo cyo guhagarika Iran ku mugaragaro, bishobora gukurura ibindi bihugu mu ntambara no kongera urugamba rugamije ibindi bihugu binyuranye.
Ibinyamakuru bitandukanye byavuze ko amahanga asoje ibiganiro by’ubutwererane n’imyitozo ya gisirikare hagati y’ibihugu bitandukanye, kandi ibyo bishobora gutuma intambara igira ingaruka zikomeye ku buhahirane mpuzamahanga, ubwikorezi bw’ibikomoka kuri peteroli n’ibindi bicuruzwa by’ingenzi.
6. Umwanzuro
Uyu munsi uwa 28 Gashyantare 2026 wiboneye isi yose ukuntu amahoro yo mu karere k’Abarabu ashobora kwivanga mu ntambara y’inzego z’ubuyobozi bukuru. Amerika na Israel bari mu ntambara ifite ibyago byinshi, Iran irwanira ubusugire bwayo kandi igaragariza abanzi bayo ubushobozi bwo gutanga igisubizo gikomeye, ndetse Uburusiya burimo gushyigikira no kwamagana ibitero byabaye.
Ntibiramenyekana neza uko iyo ntambara izarangira, ariko biragaragara ko amahanga yose akomeje gutega amatwi ibikoresho bya politiki n’ubuyobozi, kugira ngo bishakire umuti w’amahoro mbere y’uko ikibazo gikura mu maboko
