Umuyobozi mushya w’Ikirenga wa Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, yatangaje ko igihugu cye kizakomeza gufunga umuhora wa Hormuz, umwe mu mihora y’ingenzi cyane ku isi mu bijyanye n’ubwikorezi bwa peteroli n’ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga. Ibi yabitangaje mu butumwa bwe bwa mbere kuva yafata ubutegetsi, ubutumwa bwasomwe n’umunyamakuru kuri televiziyo ya Leta ya Iran.
Iri jambo ryahise rikurura impaka nyinshi ku rwego mpuzamahanga, cyane cyane ku bihugu bishingiye ku bucuruzi bwo mu nyanja ya Persian Gulf. Umuhora wa Strait of Hormuz ni inzira ifatwa nk’umutima w’ubwikorezi bwa peteroli ku isi, kuko unyuzwamo igice kinini cya peteroli ituruka mu bihugu byo mu karere ka Gulf igana ku masoko mpuzamahanga.
Ubutumwa bwa mbere bwa Mojtaba Khamenei
Mu butumwa bwe bwa mbere nk’Umuyobozi Mukuru w’Igihugu, Mojtaba Khamenei yavuze ko Iran yifuza amahoro n’ubufatanye n’ibihugu biyituriye, ariko ko hari ibintu bimwe na bimwe igihugu cye kitazigera cyemera.
Yagize ati:
“Iran ni inshuti y’ibihugu bituranyi kandi ishaka kubana neza na byo. Ariko niba ibyo bihugu bikomeje kwakira ibirindiro by’ingabo za Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika, bizakomeza kuba intego zacu mu rwego rwo kwirindira umutekano.”
Ibi byavuzwe byumvikanamo ko Iran ishobora gukomeza gufata ingamba zikomeye ku bihugu byo mu karere byemera kwakira ingabo za United States ku butaka bwabyo.
Impamvu Iran ivuga ko ifunga umuhora wa Hormuz
Abasesenguzi mu bya politiki mpuzamahanga bavuga ko gufunga umuhora wa Hormuz ari imwe mu ntwaro Iran ikoresha mu rwego rwo kwigaragaza ku rwego mpuzamahanga. Ibi akenshi bikorwa mu gihe igihugu kiri mu makimbirane n’ibihugu bikomeye byo mu Burengerazuba.
Umuhora wa Hormuz uhuza inyanja ya Persian Gulf n’inyanja ya Oman, ukaba unyuzwamo ibicuruzwa byinshi cyane cyane peteroli iva mu bihugu nka Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, United Arab Emirates ndetse na Qatar.
Iyo uyu muhanda wo mu nyanja ufunzwe cyangwa ukabangamirwa, ibiciro bya peteroli ku isi bihita bizamuka cyane, bikagira ingaruka ku bukungu bw’ibihugu byinshi.
Umubano mubi hagati ya Iran na Amerika
Umubano hagati ya Iran na Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika umaze imyaka myinshi urimo amakimbirane akomeye. Aya makimbirane yagiye yiyongera cyane kuva habaho Iranian Revolution mu 1979, yahinduye ubutegetsi muri Iran igahinduka Repubulika ya Kisilamu.
Kuva icyo gihe, Amerika yashyizeho ibihano byinshi kuri Iran, cyane cyane bijyanye n’ikorwa rya porogaramu ya kirimbuzi Iran ivuga ko igamije amahoro ariko ibihugu by’i Burengerazuba bikavuga ko ishobora gukoreshwa mu gukora intwaro za kirimbuzi.
Ibi byatumye habaho ibihe byinshi by’umwuka mubi hagati y’impande zombi, harimo n’igihe Iran yigeze gutangaza ko ishobora gufunga umuhora wa Hormuz mu rwego rwo gusubiza ibihano bya Amerika.
Ingaruka ku bukungu bw’isi
Abahanga mu bukungu bavuga ko gufunga umuhora wa Hormuz bishobora guteza ibibazo bikomeye ku masoko mpuzamahanga.
Bivugwa ko hafi 20% bya peteroli ikoreshwa ku isi inyura muri uwo muhanda wo mu nyanja. Iyo ufunzwe cyangwa ugahagarikwa, ibiciro bya peteroli birazamuka, bigatuma ibiciro by’ibikomoka kuri peteroli nabyo byiyongera.
Ibi bishobora gutuma:
Ibiciro bya lisansi n’amavuta y’imodoka bizamuka
Ibiciro by’ibiribwa bizamuka kubera ko ubwikorezi buhenze
Ubukungu bw’ibihugu byinshi bugahungabana
Ibihugu byinshi byo ku isi bikurikirana cyane iby’uyu muhora kuko ari imwe mu nzira z’ingenzi mu bucuruzi mpuzamahanga.
Ibihugu byo mu karere byabivuzeho iki?
Ibihugu byinshi byo mu karere ka Gulf ntibyishimiye aya magambo ya Mojtaba Khamenei. Bimwe muri byo bifite umubano ukomeye na Amerika mu rwego rw’umutekano.
Urugero, Saudi Arabia na United Arab Emirates bifite ubufatanye bwa gisirikare na Amerika, kandi hari ibirindiro by’ingabo zayo muri ibyo bihugu.
Abayobozi b’ibi bihugu bavuga ko kuba Iran ikomeza gutanga ubutumwa bw’iterabwoba bishobora guteza umutekano muke mu karere.
Uko abaturage ba Iran babyakiriye
Mu gihugu cya Iran, bamwe mu baturage bishimiye amagambo ya Mojtaba Khamenei, bavuga ko igihugu cyabo kigomba kwirinda igitutu cy’ibihugu bikomeye.
Abandi bo bavuga ko amakimbirane n’ibihugu byo mu Burengerazuba akomeje guteza ibibazo bikomeye ku bukungu bw’igihugu, cyane cyane kubera ibihano by’ubukungu byashyizweho na Amerika n’abafatanyabikorwa bayo.
Ibihano byatumye ubukungu bwa Iran bugerwaho n’ibibazo bikomeye, harimo izamuka ry’ibiciro, igabanuka ry’agaciro k’ifaranga ndetse n’ubushomeri bukomeje kwiyongera.
Ejo hazaza h’umutekano wo mu karere
Abasesenguzi bavuga ko amagambo ya Mojtaba Khamenei ashobora kongera umwuka mubi mu karere ka Middle East.
Hari impungenge ko niba Iran ikomeje gukoresha imbaraga mu muhanda wa Hormuz, bishobora gutuma habaho amakimbirane hagati yayo n’ibihugu bifitanye ubufatanye na Amerika.
Ku rundi ruhande, hari n’abavuga ko aya magambo ashobora kuba ari uburyo Iran ikoresha mu rwego rwa dipolomasi kugira ngo igaragaze ko ifite imbaraga n’ubushobozi bwo kugenzura imwe mu mihora y’ingenzi ku isi.
Umwanzuro
Iri tangazo rya Mojtaba Khamenei ryongeye kugaragaza uko ikibazo cy’umutekano n’ubucuruzi bwo mu nyanja ya Persian Gulf gikomeje kuba ingorabahizi ku rwego mpuzamahanga. Umuhora wa Hormuz ukomeje kuba ingenzi cyane mu bukungu bw’isi, bityo amagambo yose awuvugwaho agahita akurura impungenge n’impaka ku isi yose.
Mu gihe Iran ivuga ko iri kwirinda no kurengera inyungu zayo, ibihugu byinshi byo ku isi byo bikomeje gusaba ko habaho ibiganiro n’ubwumvikane kugira ngo hatabaho amakimbirane ashobora guhungabanya ubucuruzi n’umutekano mpuzamahanga.
Nubwo bimeze bityo, isi yose iracyakurikirana neza intambwe zizaterwa n’ubuyobozi bushya bwa Iran, cyane cyane ku bijyanye n’umutekano wo mu karere ndetse n’ubucuruzi mpuzamahanga bunyura mu muhora wa Hormuz